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- S&P 500跃升1%，创下历史新高收盘，首次收盘超过5300点 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 15, 2024
- 解读华尔街谚语-Sell in May and Go Away? | Ai Financial 基金投资 May 15, 2024
- AiF观点 | 三大股指再创新高！你在市场里么？ May 15, 2024
- 标普500和纳斯达克在消费者通胀报告发布后上涨至历史新高 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 15, 2024
- AiF观点 | 市场：美联储不降息？那我们涨吧！ May 14, 2024
- 消费者通胀报告公布前夕，纳斯达克指数创下历史新高收盘 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 14, 2024
- AiF观点 | 今天凌晨，美国动手啦！ May 14, 2024
- AiF观点 | 美联储还没打算降息，加拿大已经挺不住了 May 14, 2024
- 最新的美国通胀数据发布后，股市小幅上涨 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 14, 2024
- 道指连续八个交易日上涨后首次下跌，因消费者对通胀预期上升 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 13, 2024
- AiF观点 | 又一家价格超过价值的公司下市了 May 13, 2024
- 【Weekly recap】 Rising earnings keep the bull market intact; Inflation data remains in focus May 13, 2024
- AiF insight | GameStop, Game start? again? May 13, 2024
- Wall Street hovers on the brink of reaching new highs. May 13, 2024
- The Dow Jones continues its eighth straight day of gains, with the S&P 500 edging back towards record highs. May 10, 2024
- AiF insight | Will Canada Cut Interest Rates in June? May 10, 2024
- AiF insight | What Is a Dead Cat Bounce in the Stock Market? May 10, 2024
- AiF观点 | 股市连续涨8天了， 又一批人踏空了！ May 10, 2024
- 华尔街上涨，迈向又一个胜利周的收官 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 10, 2024
- 道琼斯指数收盘上涨逾300点，连续第7个交易日收涨 | Ai Financial 财经日报 May 9, 2024
AiF insight | Tesla's Rise, AiF Proven Wrong!
AiF 在Apr 19, 2024发表了观点， Tesla深不见底。可没过几天， AiF 就被打脸了。 Tesla股价从$140 反弹到了$192。
有网友抓住反弹， 赚的盆满钵满。
AiF 观点：这种接飞刀，和买彩票，去赌场，是一个原理， 是赌概率 。 只要是概率， 最后就一定无法实现持续，稳定，盈利。
投机和投资的区别就是：概率 vs 确定性。
投资，就是在正确的道路上， 用时间来累计财富。
上图来源于Bloomberg L.P.
左图显示：赌场玩各种赌局赢钱的概率。
右图显示：根据1901-2021年数据统计， 如果投资到道琼斯指数， 只要连续坚持15年， 你赚钱的概率是99.9%。
因为的确可能有无法预料的事情发生， 除此以外， 赚钱就是100%。 那就不再是概率，而是确定性。
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